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Why poor countries stopped catching up - By David Oks
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Why poor countries stopped catching up - By David Oks

In this essay, David Oks examines a startling reversal in global economic development. For nearly two decades, poor countries appeared to finally be catching up to rich ones, validating a long-standing prediction of economic theory and offering genuine hope for global convergence. Then, suddenly and dramatically, this progress ground to a halt. Through an analysis of recent research and economic data, Oks explores what drove this brief period of catch-up growth and why it ended so abruptly, ultimately challenging optimistic narratives about globalization and development.

  • 00:00 - Introduction

  • 03:49 - A short history of (non)convergence

  • 11:40 - Convergence comes alive?

  • 17:37 - What if it was just China?

David Oks
Why poor countries stopped catching up
At the very tail end of 2025, three economists published an essay that I think qualifies as a strong late entrant for “most important essay written in 2025.” By the rather sedate standards of economics, it was the closest thing to a bombshell: a mea culpa from high up in the profession. They gave thei…
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https://open.substack.com/pub/davidoks/p/why-poor-countries-stopped-catching-690?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web

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